โš ๏ธ For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always use proper risk management.

Win Rate Calculator

Find the break-even win rate for any risk/reward setup.

Break-Even Win Rate
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Your Edge (EV/trade)
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Expected P&L (N trades)
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Expected Wins
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Verdict

Win Rate vs. R:R Trade-Off

Break-even win rate = 1 รท (1 + R:R). A 1:2 setup breaks even at 33%. A 1:3 breaks even at 25%. This means you can be wrong 75% of the time and still be profitable with a 1:3 R:R.

Many professional traders have win rates below 50% but are highly profitable because their average wins are 2โ€“3ร— larger than their average losses. Expectancy (EV per trade) is what matters, not win rate in isolation.